上海港對上海經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響分析

國際貿(mào)易論文編號:GM492  論文字數(shù):16364.頁數(shù):31

         
 正文目錄
第一章 引言 1
第一節(jié) 選題背景和意義 1
第二節(jié) 本文主要思路及基本框架 2
第二章 文獻綜述 4
第一節(jié) 國外對于港口與城市之間關(guān)系的研究 4
一、港口經(jīng)濟影響研究的初始階段 4
二、港口經(jīng)濟影響研究的標準化階段 5
三、港口經(jīng)濟影響研究的發(fā)展階段 5
第二節(jié) 國內(nèi)對于港口與城市之間關(guān)系的研究 6
一、定性分析 6
二、定量分析 7
第三節(jié) 小結(jié) 7
第三章 上海港與城市經(jīng)濟發(fā)展概述 9
第一節(jié) 上海港的歷史沿革 9
第二節(jié) 上海港發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 11
第三節(jié) 上海港城關(guān)系的歷史沿革 13
第四章 上海港對城市經(jīng)濟貢獻的測定 15
第一節(jié) DEA指標選擇原則以及模型構(gòu)成 15
第二節(jié) DMU的選擇和處理 16
一、城市評價指標選擇 16
二、港口發(fā)展指標選擇 17
第三節(jié) 評價過程和分析 18
一、評價模型 18
二、評價結(jié)果分析 20
第四節(jié) 生產(chǎn)函數(shù)測定上海港對城市經(jīng)濟的貢獻 20
第五章 結(jié)論與不足 24
一、結(jié)論 24
二、不足之處 24
【參考文獻】 25
致 　謝 26

摘  要

 港口作為水路運輸?shù)倪B接點，不僅在交通運輸網(wǎng)絡起著極其重要的作用，而且在區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展過程中扮演著越來越重要的角色，已經(jīng)成為區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的心的增長點。所以眼下政府對中國的港口發(fā)展得到了空前的重視，城市經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展對港口的要求越來越高，各港口規(guī)模不斷擴大。功能不斷完善，深刻認識到分析港口對重要與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的作用，確定港口對腹地城市經(jīng)濟的貢獻，是當前一項十分重要與迫切的研究課題。本為研究了上海港對上海城市經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響程度，本文共分為五章，首先是導論和文獻綜述，其次闡述了上海港的發(fā)展歷史、現(xiàn)狀、港城發(fā)展的歷史性沿革及階段性，第四章采用DEA方法和道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型相結(jié)合的方式來實證分析上海港對城市經(jīng)濟的影響程度，最后是本文的結(jié)論和不足之處。
 本文通過理論和實證分析研究發(fā)現(xiàn)以下結(jié)果：第一，從上海港的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀看，上海港的建設(shè)和發(fā)展取得了重要成績，實現(xiàn)了跨越式發(fā)展，國際地位不斷提升，從上海港城關(guān)系歷史沿革及階段性看，上海的發(fā)展史本身就是一部港城共興史，充分說明了“城以港興、港為城用，港城共榮”的真理，說明了港口的發(fā)展與城市經(jīng)濟增長有著密切的關(guān)系。第二，通過DEA建立評價模型，證明上海港和上海市是雙有效的，即城市與港口集裝箱發(fā)展都是有效的。說明上海港對城市經(jīng)濟的拉動作用已到一個有效水平。第三，通過柯布—道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)，并結(jié)合計量學，很好的反映了上海港對上海城市經(jīng)濟發(fā)展貢獻上的顯著性，從而證明上海港對城市經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要推動作用。

關(guān)鍵詞：集裝箱吞吐量、上海、GDP、DEA、生產(chǎn)函數(shù)
 ABSTRACT

 Port as the connection point of water transportation,not only plays a important role in the transportation network,but also plays in a invreasin-
ly important role in regional economic development in the process of regional economic development,and it also has become the heart of growth.So now the goverment’s port development in China has  been unprecedented attention to regional economic,and also increasingly demanding on the port,the port is expanding,function continue to improve
and profound understanding of the importance of ports and regional economic development and to determine the port contribution to the regional economic,which is a very important and urgent research topic.T-
his topic.This paper has a quantitiative studaies fo the shanghai economic by shanghai port,the paper is divided into five chapters,the first is an introduction and literature review,followed by description of shanghai port’s history,current statues,historical revolution and city development stage ,the forth chapter analysis the shanghai economic impact from shanghai port,the last one is the conclusion and the countermeasures.
 In the paper,empirical measurement and theoretical study found the folling results:first,from the present situation of the development of Shanghai port,Shanghai Port’s contruction and development has made important achievements,achieved leapfrog development,and rising statues
and from the shanghai city history and the stage view,the history of Shanghai’s development is itself a city and history together,fully illustrated with the truth of “city and port developed together” ,shows tje development of the port and urban economy closely related to growth.Second,through the DEA eva lution model,prove that shanghai and shanghai port is a two-effective development of the city and port,means city development and containers development is effective.
Shows that the ability shanghai pulling effect on the urban economy has come to an effective level.Third,by Cobb-Doulas product function,comb-
ined with metrology reached a high goodness of fit coefficient,which also refects the economic develpment of Shanghai city’s significant contribute,
thus proving to the port of shanghai the importance of stimulating urban economic development.
 
 
KEYWORDS：container throughput, shanghai,GDP,DEA,production fuction