競爭與合作：中國—東盟經貿關系

國際貿易論文編號:GM750  論文字數:12053.頁數:25

目錄

 第一章 中國—東盟經貿關系的現狀……………………………….… 2
第一節 中國—東盟經貿合作的發展……………………………………….  

2 一、雙邊貿易……………………………………………………………..  2
二、相互投資……………………………………………………………. 2
第二節 中國—東盟經貿狀況的比較…………………………………………3
一、貿易優勢的比較……………………………………………………… 3
二、出口產品結構和市場結構的比較……………………………………… 4
第三節 中國—東盟經貿合作中的問題………………………………………5
第二章 中國—東盟貿易互補性分析………………………………….  6
第一節 貿易互補性指數……………………………………………………6
第二節 中國—東盟貿易互補性指數解析…………………………………… 6
一、貿易互補性指數的變化………………………………………………6
二、貿易互補性指數變化的原因……………………………………………7
第三章 中國—東盟貿易出口相似性分析……………………………8
第一節 出口相似性指數…………………………………………………8
第二節 中國—東盟出口相似性指數解析……………………………………8
一、中國—東盟總體出口相似性分析…………………………………….9
二、典型產品的出口相似性分析………………………………………… 9
第四章 中國—東盟貿易競爭性分析…………………………………12
第一節 相對競爭指數……………………………………………………. 13
第二節 中國—東盟貿易競爭指數解析……………………………………13
結論……………………………………………………………………16
參考文獻……………………………………………….……….………18

摘  要

 中國與東盟的經貿關系已進入高速發展階段。隨著CAFTA的建立，雙邊貿易必將獲得更大的增長空間。基于更好地應對雙邊貿易發展所面臨的機遇和挑戰的考慮，本文對中國—東盟雙邊經貿關系的競爭性與合作性進行了比較分析。
 論文首先從中國—東盟經貿關系現狀的基本介紹出發，并著重將中國與東盟各自的貿易優勢以及兩者的出口產品和市場結構作了比較，輔以對雙邊貿易現存問題的整理以引出撰文背景。
 鑒于中國和東盟各自具有不同的比較優勢，即存在貿易互補，本文借用貿易互補性指數結果證明了實際上中國與東盟國家之間的貿易互補性正逐漸減弱，說明中國將在雙邊貿易過程中面臨壓力。
 出口相似性指數結果分析分別從總體分析和典型產品分析兩個方面作了比較，分析發現事實上不論是在紡織品和服裝或是農產品還是制造業產品的出口相似性比較中，均可以尋出同樣的結論：在近十年間，中國和東盟的出口產品及市場相似性不斷增加。
 最后通過對貿易競爭指數的變化研究又進一步發現，實際上中國與東盟的貿易競爭態勢日趨明顯：中國在制造品出口中相對東盟有競爭優勢，而雙方在制造品出口市場的競爭日趨激烈；在農產品貿易市場上，東盟對我國將形成長時間的強烈沖擊。
 在中國—東盟雙方貿易發展達到這樣一個階段時，將以上結論作為出發視角來思索相關對策建議，將有利于將中國與東盟貿易引入一個合理的發展軌道。

關鍵詞：中國—東盟、互補性、相似性、競爭性

COMPETITION AND COOPERATION:
THE RELATION OF CHINA─ASEAN IN ECONOMY AND TRADE
 
ABSTRACT
 
 The relation of China—ASEAN in economy and trade have entered into a high developing speed phase. With the establishment of CAFTA, the bilateral trade will be to have a great increase. Taking into consideration of the opportunity and challenge for making it better and better that we are facing, this article has made comparison and analysis about the competition and cooperation of it.
 It begins with the basic introduction of the relation of China—ASEAN in economy and trade, and makes an important comparison for the advantages of their trade, their export products and market structure. The summary of the problems of bilateral trade elicits the background of writing this article.
 In view of China and ASEAN have different advantages that have the trade complement, the article uses trade complementarity index’s result to testify that in actually China and ASEAN countries’ trade complementarity are gradually weakening, and China will meet a tremendous pressure in the bilateral trade.
 The result of the export comparability index analyze makes a comparison for both all the products and the typical products, we can find in actually that even for  the comparison of textile costumes, farm products and manufacturing products, we’ll get the same conclusion: in recently ten years, the export products and markets’ comparability are unceasingly increases.
 Finally, through the study of the change of rivalrousness index we find in actually that the situation of competition between China and ASEAN is more and more obvious: in the export of manufacturing products China have more competition advantage but in the market both China and ASEAN have a drastic competition, and they will also keep an impact for a long time in the market of farm products.
 At this phase of the developing of the bilateral trade, thinking over some appropriates strategies for this conclusion will help us to lead China and ASEAN to a reasonable development way.

KEYWORDS：China—ASEAN,  complementarity,  comparability, rivalrousness