糧食政策對(duì)糧食供給的影響分析

工商管理論文編號(hào):GS326  論文字?jǐn)?shù):18033,頁數(shù):29，附開題報(bào)告，外文翻譯

 
目    錄
摘    要 I
Abstract II
第1章 緒論 1
1.1問題的提出 1
1.2研究的意義 2
1.3國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 2
1.4本文研究思路 4
第2章 糧食政策分析 5
2.1制度與政策 5
2.2糧食政策的組成 6
2.3中國的糧食政策 8
第3章 糧食供給的理論分析 10
3.1糧食的產(chǎn)量、商品量與總供給 10
3.2廠商理論：農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供給 10
3.3 糧食穩(wěn)定供給的意義 14
第4章 糧食政策對(duì)糧食供給的影響 15
4.1模型形式及變量選擇 15
4.2估計(jì)結(jié)果 16
4.3影響分析 17
4.4政策建議 19
第5章 結(jié)論 21
參 考 文 獻(xiàn) 22
致    謝 24

摘    要
 “國以民為本，民以食為天”，糧食是人類賴以生存的基本生活資料。我國是一個(gè)擁有15億人口的大國，糧食作為一種具有戰(zhàn)略意義的特殊商品，直接關(guān)系到國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和社會(huì)穩(wěn)定的大局。糧食問題既是重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)問題，也是重大的政治問題。糧食流通是聯(lián)系工業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)、城市和農(nóng)村、生產(chǎn)和消費(fèi)的橋梁，對(duì)促進(jìn)糧食生產(chǎn)發(fā)展、調(diào)節(jié)消需求、減少供求波動(dòng)等具有重要作用。
 糧食的穩(wěn)定供給是在一定政策背景和制度環(huán)境下實(shí)現(xiàn)的。一切制度安排和政策因素都可能影響收入分配和資源配置效率。目前糧食市場(chǎng)上最突出的矛盾不是總量供給不足，而是供給不穩(wěn)定。而這種不穩(wěn)定可以由生產(chǎn)要素投入波動(dòng)而導(dǎo)致的產(chǎn)量波動(dòng)予以部分的解釋，但并沒有觸及問題的根源——既定制度的約束及政府政策設(shè)計(jì)目標(biāo)偏差而造成的干預(yù)。這一課題著重探討糧食供給增大和波動(dòng)中農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營體制、收購政策、價(jià)格政策等的影響。
 全文總共包括三大部分：
 第一部分也就是緒論部分，簡述本文選題的目的、背景、國內(nèi)外研究狀況以及研究思路等。
 第二部分對(duì)糧食政策、糧食供給理論進(jìn)行分析，鑒于制度和政策對(duì)糧食生產(chǎn)和供給影響的間接性、多維性、多層面，通過對(duì)這些因素作用效果進(jìn)行簡單定性分析評(píng)判，篩選出了重要的影響變量。為第三部分的分析奠定理論基礎(chǔ)。
 第三部分通過對(duì)我國糧食政策對(duì)糧食供給影響分析，得出結(jié)論。
 
關(guān)鍵詞：糧食政策；糧食供給；影響因素；分析
Abstract
 "State of Serving the Community, Hunger breeds", food is the basic human survival means of subsistence. China is a 1.5 billion population of the country, food is of strategic significance as a special commodity, is directly related to the development of the national economy and social stability. Food problem is not only an important economic issue, but also a major political issue.Grain distribution is associated industrial and agricultural, urban and rural areas, a bridge between production and consumption, to promote the development of food production, regulation of consumer demand, reduce supply and demand play an important role in the fluctuations.
 The stability of food supply is the background of a certain policy and institutional environment to achieve. All the institutional arrangements and policy factors that may affect the income distribution and the efficiency of resource allocation. The grain market is currently the most prominent conflicts are not the total supply, but supply instability.This instability can be input by the factors of production caused by fluctuations in output volatility to be part of the explanation, but does not touch the root of the problem - the well-established system of constraints and design objectives of government policy bias caused by intervention. Focus on the subject of food supply increases and fluctuations in agricultural production and management system, acquisition policy, price policy and so on.
 The full text of a total of three major parts:
 The first part is the introduction of the topics outlined the purpose of this article, background, domestic and foreign research and research ideas and so on.
 The second part of the food policy, food supply theory, in view of the systems and policies for food production and supply of the indirect impact, multi-dimensional, multi-level, the role of these factors through a simple qualitative analysis of the effect of judges, selected important the impact of variables.
 The third part of China's grain policies on food supply impact analysis, come to the conclusion
 
Key words: food policy; food supply; impact factor; Analysis