摘 要
隨著社會的發展，經濟多元化趨勢越來越明顯，可以用各項國民經濟指標來衡量地區的經濟發展情況，本次任務針對福建省2000-2004年主要的國民經濟主要指標，包括了地區的總產出，消費水平，人口數，從業人員數等各項重要指標。
論文任務首先從數據采集開始，通過使用Visual Studio 2005開發工具設計數據輸入工具，將所需數據統一錄入到Excel表格中，在根據要求對表格中的數據進行統計分析，結合查閱的資料對福建省實際的經濟發展情況進行了總結分析，為后面的動態系統建模打下基礎。
通過學習新的系統思考軟件STELLA進行建模，對模型進行了深入的了解和研究，明白動態系統建模的基本思想，通過研究對象之間的數理邏輯關系建立模型，并運行模型分析結果，再通過實際數據對模型進行調整，使得模型能夠更真實和科學的反映出研究對象的變化規律。
運行動態系統模型，以時間為變量，隨著時間的變化，系統運行得到未來的模擬數據，從而得出區域經濟的趨勢以及變化，并結合各年份福建對促進經濟發展所做出的政策調整，以及該政策實施后對經濟的實際影響和作用，從而可以預測和估計流域經濟發展的方向，并針對需要調整政策，以便于維持和促進地區經濟的發展。
關鍵詞：福建；經濟；政策；國民經濟主要指標；模型；管理
Social, economic and environmental dynamic modeling system
Abstract
Along with social development, economic diversification trend is becoming increasingly obvious. We can use various economic indicators to measure the region's economic development. This task is the major economic indicators of 2000-2004 in Fujian including the regional total output, the level of consumption, population, number of employees and other important indicators.
Papers from the first tasks of data collection, through the use of Visual Studio 2005 development tool design data entry tool Unity will be necessary input data to Excel form, in accordance with the requirements of the form of statistical data analysis, combining the data of Fujian actual economic development of a summary analysis, back to the dynamic system modeling lay the groundwork.
Through the study of the new system Thinking software STELLA to model, after understanding the model in-depth and study dynamic system modeling to understand the basic idea , through the study of mathematical logic modeling, and operating model results, and through the actual data adjustments to the model, Models can be made more real and scientific research reflects the changes.
Run the Dynamic system modeling, model with time as variable, with the change of time, the system is simulated data in future of, Thus, it reached a regional economic trends and changes, and the combination of Fujian year to promote economic development, as well as a policy adjustment and the implementation of policies on the actual economic impact and role, so we can predict and estimate valley in the direction of economic development, and to the need to adjust its policy in order to preserve and promote the region's economic development
Keywords: Fujian; Economy; Policy; Major economic indicators; Model; Management
