本文對GM(1,1)模型做了介紹,并且對GM(1,1)模型做了較為詳細的解釋和分析。對于小樣本、不確定確定問題的解決,用傳統的數學建模方法并不合適,而浙江省普通高校招生人數預測這樣的屬于此類問題,灰色系統理論的GM(1,1)模型在解決此類方面的問題相對于傳統方法有明顯的優勢。GM(1,1)模型預測方法精確性好,實用性強。嘗試GM(1,1)模型對浙江省普通高校招生人數預測問題進行了調查和研究,建立了浙江省普通高校招生人數預測的灰色數學模型,并給出了相應的計算方法,討論了其模型的建立、參數的求解、優化等方面的理論,并結合浙江省歷年普通高校高校招生數據進行實證分析,完成了基于GM(1,1)模型的普通高招生預測系統中的設計與實現。
關鍵詞:灰色系統理論 招生預測 GM(1,1)模型 高校招生。
Based on GM (1,1) model in the admission system applications
Abstract
This article on the GM (1,1) model have been described, and on the GM (1,1) model to do a more detailed explanation and analysis. For small samples and uncertain solution to the problem identified with the traditional methods of mathematical modeling is not appropriate, but ordinary college enrollment is predicted this kind of problem, the theory of gray system GM (1,1) model to solve Such issues relative to the traditional method has obvious advantages. GM (1,1) model forecasting accuracy is good, practical. Try GM (1,1) model forecasts ordinary college enrollment conducted a survey and research, established a number of ordinary college enrollment Grey forecasting model, and the corresponding calculation method, and discusses the model The establishment of parameters for solving, optimization and the theory, combined with the calendar year, Zhejiang College Enrollment empirical data analysis is completed based on GM (1,1) model prediction system of ordinary high-enrollment in the design and implementation.
Keywords:the gray system theory Enrollment prediction GM (1,1) model college enrollment.