中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀、原因與對(duì)策研究

論文編號(hào):CW142  論文字?jǐn)?shù):15468,頁數(shù):22

中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀、原因與對(duì)策研究

摘     要

 近一段時(shí)間以來，中國(guó)和美國(guó)關(guān)于人民幣匯率問題之爭(zhēng)再起波瀾，因而人民幣匯率問題必將成為中美雙方今后一段時(shí)期內(nèi)爭(zhēng)論的焦點(diǎn)之一，在圍繞人民幣匯率問題上，中美間國(guó)家利益的博弈將更加激烈。自從奧巴馬政府上臺(tái)后，在人民幣匯率和中美貿(mào)易摩擦與爭(zhēng)端問題上，對(duì)華政策不僅沒有放寬，而且更加趨于強(qiáng)硬化，并始終沒有放棄對(duì)人民幣升值施加壓力。事實(shí)上，今年以來人民幣匯率已然步入了升值的通道，不僅人民幣匯率始終與美元匯率保持著近年來的最高值，而且在美元對(duì)西方主要貨幣不斷升值的情況下，由于之前人民幣匯率與美元匯率實(shí)行單一掛鉤，使得近年來美元在西方貨幣市場(chǎng)反彈，也導(dǎo)致了人民幣對(duì)其他西方主要貨幣不斷升值。
 本論文以匯率理論基礎(chǔ)為出發(fā)點(diǎn)，分析了中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀，同時(shí)在借鑒當(dāng)前人民幣升值研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上，以2009年中美進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易為例，分析了中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀，從而研究中美匯率形成的原因。最后，提出我國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)人民幣升值的對(duì)策，從而找出適合我國(guó)應(yīng)對(duì)中美匯率問題發(fā)展的新思路。

關(guān)鍵詞：匯率 人民幣升值

論文類型：應(yīng)用型

Chinese exchange rate and the countermeasure research status quo reasons
                    
ABSTRACT
 
 Nearly since period of time, China and the United States on the RMB exchange rate is more intense, Thus the RMB exchange rate will become one of the centre of controversy in both sides for a period of time . Around the RMB exchange rate between the USA and China national interests on the game will be more intense. Since MR Obama government on the stage, the RMB exchange rate and the China-USA trade frictions and disputes are not relaxing policy, but more tends hard, and never give up on a RMB reva luation exert. In fact, since this year the RMB exchange rate has entered the appreciation of RMB exchange rate, not only the channel with the dollar has always maintained in recent years, and the peak of western major currencies in ascendant circumstances, as before the exchange rate of the RMB against the dollar exchange rate of the single hook, since last few years dollars in the west of market rebound, also cause RMB against other major currencies of western ascendant.
 This papers to the exchange rate theories foundation as a starting point, analyzes the present situation of China-USA exchange rate, at the same time in the reference current China-USA exchange rate on the basis of research achievements, by 2009 China-USA import and export trade for example, analyzed the current controversy in China-USA exchange rate, thus research China-USA exchange rate causes. Finally, project our country to RMB measures in order to deal with the problem of China-USA exchange rate for the development of new ideas.

Key words: Exchange rate   RMB appreciation

Type of thesis: Applied
目 錄
1 緒論 1
 1.1 研究背景 1
 1.2 國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 1
 1.2.1 國(guó)內(nèi)研究現(xiàn)狀 1
 1.2.2 國(guó)外研究現(xiàn)狀 2
 1.3 研究意義 3
 1.4 研究思路 4
2 基本理論概述 5
 2.1 匯率的概念 5
 2.2 匯率的分類 5
 2.3 匯率的標(biāo)價(jià)方法 6
 2.3.1 直接標(biāo)價(jià)法 6
 2.3.2 間接標(biāo)價(jià)法 7
 2.4 匯率的決定理論 7
3 中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀——基于貿(mào)易的視角 9
 3.1 中美匯率之爭(zhēng)的現(xiàn)狀 9
 3.2 2009年中美進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易額概況 10
 3.2.1 2009年中國(guó)進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易概況 10
 3.2.2 2009年美國(guó)進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易概況 11
4 從中美貿(mào)易看人民幣升值的原因 12
 4.1 中國(guó)方面的原因 12
 4.2 美國(guó)方面的原因 12
 4.3 其他方面原因 13
5 面對(duì)人民幣匯率的爭(zhēng)端，我國(guó)應(yīng)有的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 14
 5.1 短期的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 14
 5.1.1 維持人民幣匯率的穩(wěn)定 14
 5.1.2 增進(jìn)中美雙方互相交流和理解 14
 5.2 中期的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 14
 5.2.1 采取有效措施擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需,降低外貿(mào)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響 14
 5.2.2 抓住時(shí)機(jī)，促進(jìn)外匯儲(chǔ)備的多元化使用 14
 5.2.3 嚴(yán)密監(jiān)測(cè)外匯資金流出入情況 15
 5.3 長(zhǎng)期的應(yīng)對(duì)之策 15
 5.3.1 調(diào)整經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)，建立完整的市場(chǎng)體系 15
 5.3.2 健全和完善外匯市場(chǎng) 15
 5.3.3 積極推動(dòng)國(guó)際貨幣體制改革，增強(qiáng)在國(guó)際貨幣體系中的話語權(quán) 15
6 結(jié)束語 16
參考文獻(xiàn) 17
致 謝 18